Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 109.068391 126.233346 146.788746 173.700328 208.766653 254.072435 319.140043
2024-10-06 89.080036 110.650734 139.618551 183.219186 251.005061 360.528248 573.791263
2024-10-13 73.708490 94.804699 124.838675 173.616204 257.837160 415.721592 806.185991
2024-10-20 66.456949 88.145855 120.691554 177.479903 286.426953 527.015569 1338.893089
2024-10-27 59.690229 80.859954 113.816700 174.398437 300.413447 619.699120 2095.470567
2024-11-03 57.046766 79.276735 115.484378 186.612471 351.605829 864.695277 5259.959107
2024-11-10 57.004546 81.664818 124.101632 214.825891 459.295903 1515.933963 72974.720926
2024-11-17 53.174993 77.260647 119.797509 214.584206 490.871331 1952.365056 NaN
2024-11-24 49.670908 72.991651 115.053222 212.061693 514.743776 2464.469683 NaN
2024-12-01 46.350802 68.697907 109.653886 206.665769 526.381937 2984.202090 NaN
2024-12-08 43.902268 65.703159 106.395515 205.818068 555.798858 3978.857368 NaN
2024-12-15 41.970130 63.447432 104.310559 207.508592 598.393067 5837.536078 NaN
2024-12-22 39.332618 59.953905 99.814476 203.325611 621.423430 8448.597986 NaN
2024-12-29 38.207308 59.183495 101.012261 215.914434 748.457654 29248.427232 NaN
2025-01-05 35.437712 55.055940 94.403054 203.642549 723.953722 38690.004304 NaN
2025-01-12 34.129576 53.593472 93.458261 208.560516 817.343040 417568.983280 NaN
2025-01-19 32.395229 51.158520 90.020098 204.638140 848.134830 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 31.951407 51.194973 92.220542 220.235553 1071.344243 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 32.446009 53.138811 99.255996 256.770397 1687.912568 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 31.179265 51.366094 96.903163 256.454493 1858.031771 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 29.900003 49.473880 94.027112 253.160329 1982.120556 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 28.578189 47.407177 90.491013 246.132147 2021.242836 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 27.581258 45.963331 88.426083 245.030304 2203.645347 NaN NaN